Source: Swiss Policy Research
Switzerland: mortality in historical comparison
Switzerland has had a relative under-mortality rate for 25 weeks. The reason for this is the very old age of the corona deaths (median 84 years). The cumulative excess mortality was back to zero by mid-October, which is below most of the flu waves in the past ten years.
From November until spring, however, Swiss mortality is likely to rise again very significantly due to the renewed spread of the new coronavirus . The antibody levels were around 12% in western Switzerland and Ticino until summer, and below 5% in German-speaking Switzerland .
The following graph shows Swiss mortality from 1860 to 2006. The two waves of flu from 1918/1920 and the catastrophe years around 1870 (cholera, typhus, smallpox, nationwide floods) are clearly visible.
The next graphic shows the even more meaningful indicator of life expectancy since 1876. Here, too, the flu pandemic of 1918 stands out negatively, as it cost the lives of many young children and young adults as well as older people.
The corona pandemic is likely to have a relatively minor impact on life expectancy (due to the very high median age of deaths), provided that no unexpected long-term or long-term cardiovascular or pulmonary consequences occur (see also: Post-acute Covid-19 ).
The next graphic shows the historic Swiss mortality again, but this time until 2019. This graphic now also shows the strong seasonal flu wave of 2015. The corona pandemic would not yet be visible on this graphic (as there is no annual mortality rate so far).